Article
A toy model of food production in a connected landscape
O'Hare A (2023) A toy model of food production in a connected landscape. Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 9, Art. No.: 1058273. https://doi.org/10.3389/fams.2023.1058273
Contact details
- Email anthony.ohare@stir.ac.uk
- Telephone+44 (0)1786 467427
- My personal webpage
About me
I am a lecturer in mathematics at the University of Stirling since March 2013 with research interests including modelling and simulating frustrated systems, models of infectious diseases, game theoretic techniques and the physics of gravity. Prior to moving to Stirling I worked as a postdoctoral associate to Prof Rowland Kao in the Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health at the University of Glasgow where I modelled the transmission of bovine tuberculosis in cattle in the UK and Northern Ireland. I graduated with a BSc in Physics, Mathematics and Mathematical Physics from University College, Cork in 1994 and a Postgraduate Diploma in Computational Physics in 1995. I obtained an MSc in Computational Physics from the University of Salford in 1996. I completed my PhD entitled “The Formation of Low Temperature Superstructures in the Two-dimensional Ising model with Next-Nearest Neighbour Interactions” at the University of Loughborough under Prof Feo Kusmartsev in 2007. I have spent a number of years working as a scientist at British Nuclear Fuels Ltd, modelling neutron skyshine radiation, as a software engineer at Logica, Thales, and Sungard where, laterly, I worked as a consultant in Credit Risk management and Collateral Management for several top tier banks including Deutche Bank and JP Morgan Chase. I am a member of the Institute of Physics and the Edinburgh Mathematical Society.
I am an applied mathematician with an interest in infectious disease dynamics. I am particularly interested in how spatial structure, population dynamics (i.e. movements of individuals), stochasticity, heterogeneities in population structure affect the spread and persistence of both human and animal diseases. Understanding the role of these phenomena is critical in developing effective control strategies.
Large-scale computer simulations play an important role in my research and I am the author of the Broadwick framework for epidemiological modelling.
My current research is in
- game theoretic techniques to model dynamic interacting systems with complicated payoffs and strategy profiles that might exists, for example, in diverse farming systems or epidemiological control.
- Modelling the spread of novel infectious diseases in large synthetic populations
- Incorporating genomic data from pathogens into disease models.
- Modelling treatment resistance in pathogens
Consultancy
Mathematical Modelling Demoonstration Software
The James Hutton Institute
Event / Presentation
KTN Meeeting Glasgow
Using mathematical models to understand disease dynamics and control inaquatic species
Movements and Disease Control in an Outbreak Situation - Modelling Framework.. EPIC Annual Meeting 2013
Public lecture - Can Animals do Maths?
A variety of research has demonstrated that a number of animal species have an approximate sense of numbers and use this to perform simple calculations. In this lecture we shall investigate the meaning of mathematics and what we mean by 'doing maths'. We shall see that we are all wired to do maths unconsciously, e.g. in converting signals from our eyes so that our brain can 'see', but also solve complex mathematical problems in our daily life whether or not we recognise these as mathematics. We are not alone in this ability and research has shown that many animal species can recognise numbers and can be trained to perform simple maths tasks such as addition.
Public Lecture - Zero: The history of an unappreciated number
I will outline the history of zero, from its invention by the Babylonians to being banned by the Greeks, worshipped by the Hindus and used by the Christian church to fend off heretics. Zero has had a turbulent and sometimes bloody history that causes trouble for us today. (Remember the millennium bug?) This mysterious number has frustrated the thinking of the most celebrated philosophers throughout the centuries, shaking the foundations of philosophy, science, religion and mathematics, and I hope to explain the problems (and usefulness) of this extraordinary and often overlooked number.
Bovine Tuberculosis Mini Symposium - Invited talk
A Phylodynamic Model of Bovine Tuberculosis in Cattle and Badgers Uncovers the Role of the Unobserved Reservoir.
University of Edinburgh - invited seminar talk
Edinburgh Innovations (University of Edinburgh)
A Phylodynamic Model of Bovine Tuberculosis in Cattle and Badgers Uncovers the Role of the Unobserved Reservoir.
Epidemics 7 Conference Poster
https://fems-microbiology.org/…isease-dynamics/
Impact of treatment thresholds and co-operation on the evolution of
treatment resistance in sea lice, L. salmonis
Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine 2020 Poster
Utilising social media data for veterinary epidemiological surveillance
Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine 2022 Poster
https://svepm.org.uk
Poster at 16th International Symposium of Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics
https://venuewest.eventsair.com/isvee2022/symposium-program
Public Lecture - The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences
https://www.maths.stir.ac.uk/lectures/lectures%202023.html
In 1960 the physicist Eugene Wigner published a paper "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences" where he pointed out that the mathematical structure of our physics theories often point the way to advances in the field and to new discoveries. In this lecture we will look at some of the advances we have made in physics over the past 150 years or so and how the mathematics led to new predictions and discoveries.
We will find out about black holes, radio waves, and what can happen if we stray from this well trodden path and stop trusting the mathematics. We will end with a look to the future and what physics/mathematics may be telling us about the universe we live in.
Public Lecture - Horrible Mathematicians
https://www.maths.stir.ac.uk/lectures/
Mathematics gets the Horrible Histories treatment. We will look at some mathematicians who did some truly horrible things (or had horrible things done to them).
External Examiners and Validations
PhD External Examiner
University of York
PhD External Examiner for Martin Knight
Professional membership
Edinburgh Mathematical Society
Professional qualification
Fellowship Higher Education Authority
Higher Education Academy
https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/fellowship/fellowship
Achieved Fellowship of the HEA in 2017
Level 5 Award in leadership and management
https://www.i-l-m.com
Research projects (5)
EXPOWER: EXPOnential Analysis EmPOWERing Innovation
PI: Dr Wen-shin Lee
Funded by: European Commission (Horizon 2020)
–
Mathematical Modelling Demonstration Software: Animal Epidemic!
PI: Dr Anthony O'Hare
Funded by: The James Hutton Institute
–
Introduction to Mathematical Modelling for the environmental and biological sciences
PI: Dr Andrew Hoyle
Funded by: Natural Environment Research Council
–
Introduction to mathematical modelling for the environmental and biological sciences
PI: Professor Rachel Norman
Funded by: Natural Environment Research Council
–
Introduction to mathematical modelling for the environmental and biological sciences
PI: Professor Rachel Norman
Funded by: Natural Environment Research Council
–
Outputs (24)
Article
Expected goals in football: Improving model performance and demonstrating value
Mead J, O’Hare A & McMenemy P (2023) Expected goals in football: Improving model performance and demonstrating value. PLOS ONE, 18 (4), Art. No.: e0282295. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0282295
Article
Text mining of veterinary forums for epidemiological surveillance supplementation
Munaf S, Swingler K, Brülisauer F, O’Hare A, Gunn G & Reeves A (2023) Text mining of veterinary forums for epidemiological surveillance supplementation. Social Network Analysis and Mining, 13 (1), Art. No.: 121 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13278-023-01131-7
Article
Trombetta E, Jakubiak S, Kutkova S, Lipschutz D, O'hare A & Enright JA (2023) A modeling study of the impact of treatment policies on the evolution of resistance in sea lice on salmon farms. PLoS ONE.
Research Report
Investigating Causal links from Observed Features in the first COVID-19 Waves in California
Good S & O'Hare A (2023) Investigating Causal links from Observed Features in the first COVID-19 Waves in California. ArXiv: Ithaca, New York. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2303.14485
Article
Smith S & O’Hare A (2022) Comparing traditional news and social media with stock price movements; which comes first, the news or the price change?. Journal of Big Data, 9, Art. No.: 47. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-022-00591-6
Article
O’Hare A, Balaz D, Wright DM, McCormick C, McDowell S, Trewby H, Skuce RA & Kao RR (2021) A new phylodynamic model of Mycobacterium bovis transmission in a multi-host system uncovers the role of the unobserved reservoir. PLOS Computational Biology, 17 (6), Art. No.: e1009005. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009005
Article
Mothersill C, Abend M, Bréchignac F, Copplestone D, Geras’kin S, Goodman J, Horemans N, Jeggo P, McBride W, Mousseau TA, O’Hare A, Papineni RVL, Powathil G, Schofield PN & Austin B (2018) The tubercular badger and the uncertain curve:- the need for a multiple stressor approach in environmental radiation protection. Environmental Research, 168, pp. 130-140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2018.09.031
Article
Reconstructing disease transmission dynamics from animal movements and test data
Enright JA & O'Hare A (2017) Reconstructing disease transmission dynamics from animal movements and test data. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 31 (2), pp. 369-377. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1354-z
Article
Broadwick: a framework for computational epidemiology
O'Hare A, Lycett SJ, Doherty T, Salvador LCM & Kao RR (2016) Broadwick: a framework for computational epidemiology. BMC Bioinformatics, 17 (1), Art. No.: 65. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12859-016-0903-2
Article
Inference in High Dimensional Parameter Space
O'Hare A (2015) Inference in High Dimensional Parameter Space. Journal of Computational Biology, 22 (11), pp. 997-1004. https://doi.org/10.1089/cmb.2015.0086
Article
O'Hare A, Orton R, Bessell PR & Kao RR (2014) Estimating epidemiological parameters for bovine tuberculosis in British cattle using a Bayesian partial-likelihood approach. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 281 (1783), Art. No.: 20140248. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.0248
Article
Bessell PR, Orton R, O'Hare A, Mellor DJ, Logue D & Kao RR (2013) Developing a framework for risk-based surveillance of tuberculosis in cattle: a case study of its application in Scotland. Epidemiology and Infection, 141 (2), pp. 314-323. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000635
Article
Biek R, O'Hare A, Wright D, Mallon T, McCormick C, Orton R, McDowell S, Trewby H, Skuce RA & Kao RR (2012) Whole Genome Sequencing Reveals Local Transmission Patterns of Mycobacterium bovis in Sympatric Cattle and Badger Populations. PLoS Pathogens, 8 (11), Art. No.: e1003008. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1003008
Article
Stable forms of two-dimensional crystals and graphene
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2012) Stable forms of two-dimensional crystals and graphene. Physica B: Condensed Matter, 407 (11), pp. 1964-1968. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physb.2012.01.075
Article
Risk of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Spread Due to Sole Occupancy Authorities and Linked Cattle Holdings
Orton R, Bessell PR, Birch CPD, O'Hare A & Kao RR (2012) Risk of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Spread Due to Sole Occupancy Authorities and Linked Cattle Holdings. PLoS ONE, 7 (4), Art. No.: e35089. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0035089
Article
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2012) A Stable "Flat" Form of Two-Dimensional Crystals: Could Graphene, Silicene, Germanene Be Minigap Semiconductors?. Nano Letters, 12 (2), pp. 1045-1052. https://doi.org/10.1021/nl204283q
Book Chapter
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2009) 2D Ising Model with Competing Interactions and Its Application to Clusters and Arrays of Pi-Rings, Graphene and Adiabatic Quantum Computing. In: Kusmartsev F (ed.) Condensed Matter Theories, Volume 24: Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop, Loughborough, United Kingdom, 13-18 August 2008. Condensed Matter Theories, 24. World Scientific, pp. 15-31. http://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/7493
Article
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2009) 2D Ising Model with Competing Interactions and Its Application to Clusters and Arrays of Pi-Rings, Graphene and Adiabatic Quantum Computing. International Journal of Modern Physics B, 23 (20-21), pp. 3951-3967. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217979209063183
Article
Two-Dimensional Ising Model with Competing Interactions as a Model for Interacting pi-Rings
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2009) Two-Dimensional Ising Model with Competing Interactions as a Model for Interacting pi-Rings. Acta Physica Polonica A, 115 (1), pp. 150-152. http://przyrbwn.icm.edu.pl/APP/ABSTR/115/a115-1-37.html
Article
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV & Kugel KI (2009) Two-dimensional Ising model with competing interactions: Phase diagram and low-temperature remanent disorder. Physical Review B, 79 (1), Art. No.: 014439. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevB.79.014439
Thesis
O'Hare A (2007) The Formation of Low Temperature Superstructures in the Two-dimensional Ising model with Next-Nearest Neighbour Interactions. Doctor of Philosophy. Loughborough University.
Article
O'Hare A (2007) Two-dimensional Ising model with competing interactions and its application to clusters and arrays of pi-rings and adiabatic quantum computing. Physical Review B, 76 (6), Art. No.: 064528. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevB.76.064528
Article
Evidence of superstructures at low temperatures in frustrated spin systems
O'Hare A, Kusmartsev FV, Laad MS & Kugel KI (2006) Evidence of superstructures at low temperatures in frustrated spin systems. Physica C: Superconductivity and its Applications, 437-38, pp. 230-233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physc.2005.12.071
Teaching
Teaching
MATU9N2
MATU9EG
MATU9KC
MATU9RP
MATU9N1
MATU9AF
MATPMD5
MATPMD4
MATPMD3